Overlapping windows
Several horizon outcomes may come from the same market moment. Adding them as independent samples would inflate confidence.
We preserve decisions before outcomes are known. Then compare them with alternatives — including the results that challenge our own models.
No independently confirmed trading advantage is established here.
Existing canonical report with fixed comparison policies, not cherry-picked winners. Observations overlap in time; these are neither independent trades nor an executable portfolio PnL.
Requires 100+ observations, valid values and an explicit comparable methodology. Missing data is never replaced by synthetic performance.
A chronological public decision trail, not a highlight reel. Each record links to its timestamped evidence page.
Verify the data transport; no records are being fabricated.
Several horizon outcomes may come from the same market moment. Adding them as independent samples would inflate confidence.
Always Long, Short and Wait are descriptive reference policies, not full portfolio simulations with capacity and risk.
WATCH and insufficient evidence are not a verified profitable trading strategy.
Hypothesis → frozen protocol → independent test → published evidence.